BitVault

Daily Performance Report

Last 30 Days |

www.bitvault.finance

BitVault Executive Overview

TVL

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BTC TVL (USD)

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sbvUSD TVL

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Net APY – sbvUSD

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Net APY – BTC

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Bitcoin Market Summary

Price
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24h Change
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7d Change
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Market Cap
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Volume (24h)
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Circulating Supply
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Polymarket Prediction Markets

Market Sentiment Overview

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BitVault Core Metrics

Metric End Previous End Current MoM Δ (abs) MoM % Units
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BitVault Performance

TVL – sbvUSD (last 6 months)
Net APY – sbvUSD (Last 6 Months)
30-Day Performance Comparison
BitVault 30-Day
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BTC 30-Day
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Difference (BitVault - BTC)
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Bitcoin Market Insights & Analysis

Current Market Conditions

Market Overview

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📊 Technical Positioning
Analyzing RSI and Stochastic indicators...
💰 On-Chain Flows
Analyzing exchange netflows...
🐋 Smart Money Activity
Analyzing whale behavior...
⚡ Market Outlook & Trading Implications
Analyzing market conditions for trading opportunities...

60-Day Market Outlook

EVALUATING...
Analyzing market conditions...

US Economy Analysis

Economic Overview

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📊 Growth & Production
Analyzing ISM data...
💵 Inflation & Fed Policy
Analyzing CPI and Fed data...
👥 Labor & Consumer
Analyzing employment and retail sales...
⚡ Bottom Line for Bitcoin
Analyzing macroeconomic impact on Bitcoin...

Economic Impact on Bitcoin

EVALUATING...
Analyzing economic conditions...

U.S. Economic Indicators

ISM Services PMI
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ISM Manufacturing PMI
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CPI / Core CPI
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NFP Jobs
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Retail Sales
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Fed Rate Cut Prob
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Macro Market Overview

DXY
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Gold
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S&P 500
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10Y Treasury
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VIX
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Market Sentiment

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Fear & Greed Index

Bitcoin ETF Flows (Net Inflows)

Note: ETF flows represent actual institutional capital entering/exiting Bitcoin ETFs through share creation and redemption. Positive flows indicate new investment demand; negative flows suggest capital withdrawal. This differs from trading volume, which measures liquidity but doesn't change fund size.

7-Day Total
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Million USD
30-Day Total
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Million USD
Latest Day
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Million USD

BTC Insights

Whale Addresses (10K+ BTC): Loading...
Net Flows (30d): Loading...
BTC Price & Volume (Last 30 Days)
Whale Ratio & Net Exchange Flows (Last 30 Days)
BTC Price vs Stochastic (Last 30 Days)
BTC Price vs Stochastic (Last 90 Days)
Bitcoin Liquidation Heatmap

Order Book Analysis

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Order Book Depth (Live)
Order Book Heatmap (30 Days)

Liquidation Likelihood

BitVault borrowed 5,350,000 USDT on October 17, 2025 with a 3-month term at 3.61% APR and 53% LTV on Bitget. This analysis estimates liquidation risk based on Bitcoin price predictions from Polymarket.

Collateral (BTC)
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Collateral Value (USD)
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Current LTV
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Margin Call Price (85%)
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Liquidation Price (95%)
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Distance to Liquidation
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Repayment to 50% LTV
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Combined Liquidation Risk Assessment

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Calculating...
Monte Carlo (60%) + Polymarket (40%)

Running Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 price paths...

📊 Monte Carlo Simulation Results

Quantitative risk analysis using Geometric Brownian Motion with 10,000 simulated BTC price paths over 53 days.

Annualized Volatility
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MC Liquidation Prob
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MC Margin Call Prob
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Polymarket Prob
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Expected Price Distribution (at maturity)
5th Percentile
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Median (50th)
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95th Percentile
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Mean Price
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🎯 Combined Risk Model

Final probability weights: 60% Monte Carlo (quantitative historical volatility) + 40% Polymarket (market sentiment) = -- liquidation risk

Loan Details

Borrowed Amount
$5,350,000 USDT
Loan Origination
October 17, 2025
Maturity Date
January 17, 2026
Borrow Rate
3.61% APR
Initial LTV
53%
Margin Call (Warning)
85%
Liquidation Threshold
95%
Days Remaining
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Interest Accrued
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